Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dragon vs Cacahuatique Prediction & H2H Stats

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Coca D.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Marquez A.
74' Event
Aguila G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Cacahuatique in this Primera Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cacahuatique.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dragon
20%
Draws
40%
Cacahuatique
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dragon haven't matched Cacahuatique's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cacahuatique's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Cacahuatique have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Dragon Clean Sheet 18%
Cacahuatique Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragon Cacahuatique
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2025 Primera Division
Dragon vs Cacahuatique
1:2
Feb 26, 2025 Primera Division
Cacahuatique vs Dragon
0:2
Oct 20, 2024 Primera Division
Cacahuatique vs Dragon
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Cacahuatique
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Cacahuatique Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragon 20 / 100
Cacahuatique 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragon Cacahuatique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacahuatique Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dragon found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Cacahuatique let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Cacahuatique's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cacahuatique
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragon

(Home)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

Cacahuatique

(Away)
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
29 Sept
Atletico Balboa
0 : 2
Cacahuatique
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Cacahuatique
0 : 2
FAS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 20 13 4 3 37:17 43
2 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 6 3 34:16 39
3 Alianza FC 20 12 3 5 28:11 39
4 Metapan 20 9 8 3 22:13 35
5 Municipal Limeno 20 6 9 5 21:20 27
6 Cacahuatique 20 6 9 5 18:24 27
7 Fuerte San Francisco 20 6 6 8 15:20 24
8 FAS 20 5 7 8 17:23 22
9 Platense Municipal 20 5 5 10 18:25 20
10 Dragon 20 4 2 14 17:30 14
11 11 Deportivo 20 1 5 14 12:40 8
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)