Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dravinja vs Smarje

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 game between Dravinja and Smarje finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dravinja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Dravinja
15%
Draws
64%
Smarje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smarje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Dravinja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dravinja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dravinja here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 19%
Smarje Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravinja Smarje
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2022 3. SNL - East
Dravinja vs Smarje
3:0
Sep 11, 2021 3. SNL - East
Smarje vs Dravinja
1:1
Sep 19, 2020 3. SNL - East
Smarje vs Dravinja
1:3
Apr 14, 2018 3. SNL - North
Dravinja vs Smarje
5:0
Sep 23, 2017 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Dravinja
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravinja 85 / 100
Smarje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravinja Smarje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dravinja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dravinja scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Smarje conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Smarje registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dravinja VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravinja

(Home)
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
29 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 4
Triglav
22 Aug
Vrhnika
2 : 0
Dravinja
16 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 3
Bilje
09 Aug
Ilirija
1 : 0
Dravinja
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Smarje

(Away)
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4
Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0
Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4
Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1
Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1
Posavje Krsko
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dravograd 26 18 7 1 66:18 61
2 Sampion Celje 26 17 8 1 60:19 59
3 Dravinja 26 13 7 6 49:27 46
4 Pesnica 26 13 6 7 39:30 45
5 Bistrica 26 11 8 7 40:32 41
6 Zrece 26 12 4 10 58:37 40
7 SD Videm 26 10 5 11 38:43 35
8 Pohorje 26 10 5 11 41:50 35
9 Mons Claudius 26 7 10 9 32:43 31
10 Dobrovce 26 8 4 14 36:45 28
11 Sentjur 26 7 3 16 34:65 24
12 Korotan Prevalje 26 7 2 17 35:43 23
13 Lenart 26 7 2 17 30:64 23
14 Smarje 26 6 1 19 26:68 19
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)