Sport Picks

Kosovo

Superliga

FC Ballkani

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Drenica play FC Ballkani in the Superliga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Drenica averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. FC Ballkani averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Drenica won 1, FC Ballkani won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.87 for Drenica and 1.67 for FC Ballkani. This points to a FC Ballkani double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Drenica

15%

Draws

44%

FC Ballkani

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ballkani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Drenica picked up more points recently compared to FC Ballkani.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.87 vs 1.67 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Drenica Clean Sheet 13%

FC Ballkani Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Drenica	FC Ballkani
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	13
Draws	3	2
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.23	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.86	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.71	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Superliga

Drenica vs FC Ballkani

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Mar 1, 2026 Superliga

FC Ballkani vs Drenica

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Nov 8, 2025 Superliga

Drenica vs FC Ballkani

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Sep 14, 2025 Superliga

FC Ballkani vs Drenica

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Dec 6, 2023 Kosovar Cup

Drenica vs FC Ballkani

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 4 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Drenica Compare

Top Goalscorer Jashari I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.43

Avg xA / game 0.93

FC Ballkani Compare

Top Goalscorer Domgjoni T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Alidema F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drenica 40 / 100

FC Ballkani 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Drenica FC Ballkani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Ballkani or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Drenica attacking → ← attacking FC Ballkani

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drenica scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

FC Ballkani let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Drenica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Ballkani lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 41

1.86 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Drita	36	20	6	10	50:35	66
2	Malisheva	36	18	5	13	58:50	59
3	FC Ballkani	36	17	7	12	61:41	58
4	Dukagjini	36	13	12	11	42:36	51
5	Gjilani	36	14	9	13	47:48	51
6	Drenica	36	15	5	16	46:55	50
7	Prishtina	36	13	10	13	52:51	49
8	Llapi	36	13	10	13	46:50	49
9	Ferizaj	36	9	9	18	40:55	36
10	Prishtina e Re	36	8	7	21	39:60	31