Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Drogheda vs Lucan Utd

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
Drogheda Logo

Drogheda

4 - 0
FT
Lucan Utd Logo

Lucan Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Doyle M.
44' Event
Doyle M.
49' Event
Odiashi S.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Drogheda
15%
Draws
51%
Lucan Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucan Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lucan Utd come out ahead of Drogheda on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Lucan Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Drogheda, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 20%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda Lucan Utd
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 0
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 FAI Cup
Drogheda vs Lucan Utd
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Drogheda Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Lucan Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 36 / 100
Lucan Utd 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda Lucan Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucan Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Drogheda scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Lucan Utd let in goals in 78% of their last 18 matches.

Drogheda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS Lucan Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

Lucan Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Lucan Utd
2 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0
Lucan Utd
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2
University College Cork
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -