Sport Picks

Ireland

FAI Cup Sullivan & Lambe Park

Lucan Utd

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Drogheda play Lucan Utd in the FAI Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Drogheda averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Lucan Utd averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. In past meetings, Drogheda won 4, Lucan Utd won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Drogheda and 2.19 for Lucan Utd. This points to a Lucan Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Drogheda

19%

Draws

43%

Lucan Utd

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Lucan Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Drogheda picked up more points recently compared to Lucan Utd.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Drogheda Clean Sheet 10%

Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Drogheda	Lucan Utd
Matches Played	28	14
Wins	9	7
Draws	8	0
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.5	1.93
Goals Conceded	1.61	2.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 FAI Cup

Drogheda vs Lucan Utd

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-1

Apr 12, 2025 FAI Cup

Lucan Utd vs Drogheda

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0-2

Mar 12, 2025 FAI Cup

Drogheda vs Lucan Utd

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-0

Feb 12, 2025 FAI Cup

Lucan Utd vs Drogheda

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1-0

Jan 12, 2025 FAI Cup

Drogheda vs Lucan Utd

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 36 / 100

Lucan Utd 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Drogheda Lucan Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lucan Utd or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Drogheda attacking → ← attacking Lucan Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drogheda scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Lucan Utd let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Drogheda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lucan Utd lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 21

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00