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Dubrava Zagreb vs Zapresic

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2022/2023 SRC Grana-Klaka, Zagreb
Sat, Oct 1, 2022
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dubrava Zagreb host Zapresic in the Prva NL 2022/2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Dubrava Zagreb at 1.03 goals for, 1.66 against; Zapresic at 1.45 for, 1.05 against. Head-to-head, Dubrava Zagreb have won 2 to Zapresic's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 1, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.42 vs 1.56, favoring Zapresic. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dubrava Zagreb
30%
Draws
23%
Zapresic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dubrava Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dubrava Zagreb haven't matched Zapresic's recent run of results.
  • Dubrava Zagreb are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Prva NL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dubrava Zagreb Clean Sheet 15%
Zapresic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubrava Zagreb Zapresic
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2022 Prva NL
Dubrava Zagreb vs Zapresic
0:0
Apr 8, 2022 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Dubrava Zagreb
2:0
Oct 2, 2021 Prva NL
Dubrava Zagreb vs Zapresic
1:0
Sep 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Zapresic vs Dubrava Zagreb
4:2
Mar 5, 2021 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Dubrava Zagreb
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubrava Zagreb 84 / 100
Zapresic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubrava Zagreb Zapresic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dubrava Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dubrava Zagreb scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Zapresic let in goals in 65% of their last 20 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dubrava Zagreb stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dubrava Zagreb VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubrava Zagreb

(Home)
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
12 Sept
Hrvace
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
06 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
2 : 1
Opatija
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
28 Aug
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Croatia Zmijavci
Page 1 of 7

Zapresic

(Away)
16 Aug
Segesta
3 : 0
Zapresic
14 Feb
NK Brezice
2 : 2
Zapresic
19 Oct
NK Nedelisce
3 : 0
Zapresic
28 May
Zapresic
0 : 1
Solin
22 May
Dinamo Zagreb 2
0 : 2
Zapresic
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 7 7 56:26 64
2 Vukovar 1991 33 17 12 4 57:25 63
3 Cibalia 33 13 15 5 37:26 54
4 Bijelo Brdo 33 12 8 13 41:37 44
5 Jarun 33 13 5 15 43:57 44
6 Orijent 33 10 13 10 45:45 43
7 Croatia Zmijavci 33 12 7 14 37:44 43
8 Solin 33 12 7 14 47:55 43
9 Dubrava Zagreb 33 11 9 13 38:39 42
10 Dugopolje 33 9 14 10 30:35 41
11 Kustosija 33 9 7 17 35:50 34
12 Dragovoljac 33 4 10 19 32:59 22
Promotion - HNL 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2023/2024 (Main)