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Duisburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2023/2024 Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bender L.
Assist: Senss E.
34' Event
Karczewska N.
Assist: Vilhjalmsdottir K.
62'
Sub
Bartz P. In: Gonzalez E.
Out: Bartz P.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2023/2024 game between Duisburg W and Bayer Leverkusen W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Duisburg W
6%
Draws
90%
Bayer Leverkusen W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayer Leverkusen W come out ahead of Duisburg W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bayer Leverkusen W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bayer Leverkusen W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Duisburg W Clean Sheet 16%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duisburg W Bayer Leverkusen W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 20
Draws 4 1
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Duisburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:3
Dec 15, 2023 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Duisburg W
4:1
Feb 12, 2023 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Duisburg W
2:0
Sep 18, 2022 Bundesliga Women
Duisburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:1
Mar 21, 2021 Bundesliga Women
Duisburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duisburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bathmann K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bender L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karczewska N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duisburg W 10 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duisburg W Bayer Leverkusen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duisburg W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Bayer Leverkusen W has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Bayer Leverkusen W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bayer Leverkusen W
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W22193060:860
2Wolfsburg W22172367:1953
3Eintracht Frankfurt W22142642:2544
4SGS Essen W22105733:2635
5Hoffenheim W22104843:3534
6Bayer Leverkusen W2287734:2531
7Werder Bremen W22841034:3128
8RB Leipzig W22751026:4126
9Freiburg W22661026:4424
10Koln W22531425:4318
111.FC Nurnberg W22431516:6115
12Duisburg W22041816:644