Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dukagjini vs Drenica

Kosovo Kosovo

Superliga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Jonuzi F.

AI Match Summary

Drenica in this Superliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Drenica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dukagjini
30%
Draws
33%
Drenica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dukagjini

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dukagjini at 1.4 per game, Drenica at 1.23.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dukagjini Clean Sheet 16%
Drenica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dukagjini Drenica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Superliga
Drenica vs Dukagjini
0:0
May 3, 2026 Superliga
Dukagjini vs Drenica
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Superliga
Drenica vs Dukagjini
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Superliga
Dukagjini vs Drenica
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Superliga
Drenica vs Dukagjini
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dukagjini Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Drenica Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonuzi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dukagjini 30 / 100
Drenica 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dukagjini Drenica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dukagjini Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dukagjini found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Drenica has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dukagjini remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dukagjini VS Drenica
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dukagjini

(Home)
20 Sept
Dukagjini
1 : 2
Drita
14 Sept
FC Ballkani
0 : 0
Dukagjini
10 Sept
Dukagjini
2 : 0
Malisheva
05 Sept
Llapi
1 : 2
Dukagjini
29 Aug
Gjilani
2 : 2
Dukagjini
Page 1 of 6

Drenica

(Away)
20 Sept
Drenica
4 : 0
Llapi
13 Sept
Vushtrria
0 : 3
Drenica
08 Sept
Drenica
1 : 4
Prishtina
05 Sept
Drita
0 : 0
Drenica
28 Aug
Drenica
0 : 2
FC Ballkani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drita 36 20 6 10 50:35 66
2 Malisheva 36 18 5 13 58:50 59
3 FC Ballkani 36 17 7 12 61:41 58
4 Dukagjini 36 13 12 11 42:36 51
5 Gjilani 36 14 9 13 47:48 51
6 Drenica 36 15 5 16 46:55 50
7 Prishtina 36 13 10 13 52:51 49
8 Llapi 36 13 10 13 46:50 49
9 Ferizaj 36 9 9 18 40:55 36
10 Prishtina e Re 36 8 7 21 39:60 31
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)