Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City

Scotland Scotland

League Two Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dumbarton host Edinburgh City in the League Two. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Dumbarton at 1.13 goals for, 2.75 against; Edinburgh City at 1.25 for, 1.88 against. Head-to-head, Dumbarton have won 0 to Edinburgh City's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.00) point toward Edinburgh City. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dumbarton
15%
Draws
57%
Edinburgh City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Edinburgh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Edinburgh City have won more games recently than Dumbarton.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Edinburgh City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Edinburgh City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton
5:0
Jan 31, 2026 League Two
Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton
4:3
Aug 30, 2025 League Two
Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City
1:2
May 7, 2022 League One
Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 30 / 100
Edinburgh City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Edinburgh City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Dumbarton found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Edinburgh City has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Edinburgh City registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS Edinburgh City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
01 Aug
Stirling
2 : 0
Dumbarton
25 Jul
Dumbarton
2 : 0
Cove Rangers
18 Jul
East Kilbride
5 : 3
Dumbarton
14 Jul
Dunfermline
4 : 1
Dumbarton
11 Jul
Dumbarton
0 : 4
St. Mirren
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Edinburgh City

(Away)
01 Aug
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Elgin City
21 Jul
Stranraer
0 : 2
Edinburgh City
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
14 Jul
Edinburgh City
2 : 0
Alloa
11 Jul
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Falkirk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elgin City 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Spartans 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Clyde 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Stirling 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Forfar Athletic 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Kelty Hearts 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
7 Annan 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
8 Stranraer 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Dumbarton 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Edinburgh City 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)