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Dunafoldvar vs Ferencvaros II

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kokovai C.
14' Event
Kudriavtcev I.
47' Event
Golik B.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2024/2025 game between Dunafoldvar and Ferencvaros II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferencvaros II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Dunafoldvar
15%
Draws
85%
Ferencvaros II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferencvaros II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferencvaros II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ferencvaros II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ferencvaros II have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dunafoldvar Clean Sheet 18%
Ferencvaros II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunafoldvar Ferencvaros II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 0.77 2.1
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Dunafoldvar vs Ferencvaros II
1:3
Aug 11, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Dunafoldvar
5:0
May 12, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Dunafoldvar
4:0
Oct 29, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Dunafoldvar vs Ferencvaros II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunafoldvar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kudriavtcev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Ferencvaros II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokovai C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Golik B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunafoldvar 10 / 100
Ferencvaros II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunafoldvar Ferencvaros II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Ferencvaros II has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Dunafoldvar's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ferencvaros II's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferencvaros II
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunafoldvar

(Home)
02 Aug
Dunafoldvar
1 : 8
Dombovari
25 May
Dunafoldvar
0 : 3
Szekszardi
18 May
Bonyhad
6 : 0
Dunafoldvar
11 May
Dunafoldvar
1 : 3
Gardony Varosi
04 May
MTK Budapest II
11 : 1
Dunafoldvar
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Ferencvaros II

(Away)
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
26 Aug
Ferencvaros II
5 : 0
Majosi
15 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Ferencvaros II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 23 5 2 73:24 74
2 Ivancsa 30 21 5 4 94:26 68
3 Ferencvaros II 30 17 12 1 67:31 63
4 Kaposvar 30 18 8 4 78:33 62
5 Pecsi MFC 30 18 6 6 66:29 60
6 Siofok 30 15 10 5 56:32 55
7 Paks II 30 12 6 12 51:46 42
8 Majosi 30 11 7 12 40:45 40
9 MTK Budapest II 30 11 5 14 58:57 38
10 Dunaharaszti MTK 30 10 8 12 47:45 38
11 Bonyhad 30 10 5 15 38:55 35
12 Szekszardi 30 6 7 17 30:54 25
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 3 21 27:70 21
14 Fonix Gold 30 6 3 21 36:90 21
15 Gardony Varosi 30 5 6 19 34:71 21
16 Dunafoldvar 30 1 4 25 22:109 7
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