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Dunafoldvar vs Gardony Varosi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Szilvasi Z.
79' Event
Bohata A.
84' Event
Szabo M. D.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2024/2025 game between Dunafoldvar and Gardony Varosi finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gardony Varosi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dunafoldvar
6%
Draws
90%
Gardony Varosi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gardony Varosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gardony Varosi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gardony Varosi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dunafoldvar Clean Sheet 10%
Gardony Varosi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunafoldvar Gardony Varosi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Dunafoldvar vs Gardony Varosi
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Gardony Varosi vs Dunafoldvar
4:2
Apr 7, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Gardony Varosi vs Dunafoldvar
0:6
Sep 24, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Dunafoldvar vs Gardony Varosi
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunafoldvar Compare

Top Goalscorer Szabo M. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Gardony Varosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Szilvasi Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bohata A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunafoldvar 10 / 100
Gardony Varosi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunafoldvar Gardony Varosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gardony Varosi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Dunafoldvar's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gardony Varosi's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunafoldvar VS Gardony Varosi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
3.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagykanizsa FC30235273:2474
2Ivancsa30215494:2668
3Ferencvaros II301712167:3163
4Kaposvar30188478:3362
5Pecsi MFC30186666:2960
6Siofok301510556:3255
7Paks II301261251:4642
8Majosi301171240:4540
9MTK Budapest II301151458:5738
10Dunaharaszti MTK301081247:4538
11Bonyhad301051538:5535
12Szekszardi30671730:5425
13PTE-PEAC30632127:7021
14Fonix Gold30632136:9021
15Gardony Varosi30561934:7121
16Dunafoldvar30142522:1097