Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dundee Utd vs Arbroath

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Tannadice Park
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Randall J.
37' Event
Sapsford Z.
Assist: Metsoko I.
46'
Sub
Agyei E. In: Eskesen J.
Out: Agyei E.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Dundee Utd and Arbroath finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dundee Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Dundee Utd
28%
Draws
22%
Arbroath
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Dundee Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dundee Utd come out ahead of Arbroath on wins alone.
  • Dundee Utd are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dundee Utd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 19%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee Utd Arbroath
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup
Dundee Utd vs Arbroath
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Arbroath vs Dundee Utd
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 Championship
Dundee Utd vs Arbroath
4:0
Jan 2, 2024 Championship
Arbroath vs Dundee Utd
0:3
Oct 27, 2023 Championship
Dundee Utd vs Arbroath
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapsford Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Metsoko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Arbroath Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee Utd 49 / 100
Arbroath 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee Utd Arbroath

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Dundee Utd scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Arbroath has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Dundee Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundee Utd VS Arbroath
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd32014:16
2Montrose22003:06
3Stirling31023:43
4Arbroath21012:43
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5Annan30031:120
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5Brechin30031:100
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3East Fife21013:14
4Linlithgow Rose31021:43
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2Falkirk21015:13
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5Elgin City30032:70