Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dundela vs Glenavon

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Dundela and Glenavon finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dundela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Dundela
35%
Draws
40%
Glenavon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Glenavon come out ahead of Dundela on wins alone.
  • Model gives Glenavon a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Dundela Clean Sheet 10%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundela Glenavon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 14 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Glenavon
3:2
Jan 14, 2025 Irish Cup
Glenavon vs Dundela
2:0
Sep 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Dundela vs Glenavon
1:1
Aug 5, 2014 Club Friendly
Dundela vs Glenavon
1:4
Jan 14, 2006 Irish Cup
Glenavon vs Dundela
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundela 10 / 100
Glenavon 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundela Glenavon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundela's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Glenavon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dundela stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundela VS Glenavon
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundela

(Home)
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Harland & Wolff
2 : 0
Dundela
22 Aug
Ballinamallard
2 : 1
Dundela
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Glenavon

(Away)
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Glenavon
3 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 8 5 2 1 20:11 17
2 Annagh 8 5 2 1 18:12 17
3 Queens University 8 5 1 2 18:6 16
4 Harland & Wolff 8 5 0 3 15:10 15
5 Glenavon 8 4 2 2 18:12 14
6 Ballinamallard 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Institute 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Newry City 8 3 3 2 12:14 12
9 Ards 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
10 Warrenpoint 8 3 1 4 15:14 10
11 Loughgall 8 2 4 2 11:14 10
12 Dundela 8 1 5 2 16:18 8
13 Moyola 8 2 2 4 9:17 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Armagh 8 0 4 4 8:14 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 8 1 0 7 6:19 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)