Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunmurry Rec vs Tobermore

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tobermore in this Irish Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 0-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dunmurry Rec
15%
Draws
21%
Tobermore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunmurry Rec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dunmurry Rec lately — more wins on the board than Tobermore.
  • Model gives Dunmurry Rec a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Dunmurry Rec have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tobermore, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Dunmurry Rec Clean Sheet 10%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunmurry Rec Tobermore
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 2 0
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 2.22 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.65 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Irish Cup
Dunmurry Rec vs Tobermore
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunmurry Rec 83 / 100
Tobermore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunmurry Rec Tobermore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunmurry Rec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunmurry Rec found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Tobermore let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Solid form: Dunmurry Rec remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunmurry Rec VS Tobermore
1.8 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 100%
60% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunmurry Rec

(Home)
11 Jul
Ballymacash
0 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
02 Nov
Banbridge
2 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
28 Sept
Dunmurry Rec
3 : 2
Newbuildings
17 Aug
Rosemount Rec
2 : 3
Dunmurry Rec
29 Sept
Dunmurry Rec
1 : 4
Dungiven
Page 1 of 6

Tobermore

(Away)
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4
Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2
Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1
Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1
Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5
Tobermore
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry -
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St. Marys 1
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth -
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Bloomfield 1
Craigavon City 3
Newtowne FC 3
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
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Desertmartin -
Newington FC -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Knockbreda -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation -
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Seapatrick 1
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Islandmagee 4
Fivemiletown 1
Iveagh Utd 0
Ards Rangers 9
Laurelvale 6
Broomhedge 1
Bangor Old Boys 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
Malachians 2
TBD -
Moyola -
Immaculata 3
Abbey Villa 0
Seagoe 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 12
Rosario Youth -
Ballynahinch United -
TBD -
Brantwood -
Valley Rangers 5
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Magherafelt -
Colin Valley -
Donegal -
TBD -
Silverwood 2
Crumlin United 3
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela -
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Richhill 2
Ardstraw 10
Windmill 2
St. James' Swifts 1
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Rathfriland Rangers 8
Barn 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Orangefield Old Boys' 3
Strabane Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Newcastle -
Killyleagh Youth 5
Newbuildings 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Sirocco 4
Dunmurry Rec 4
Dromore Amateurs 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Banbridge -
TBD -
Cookstown RBL 1
Dromara 2
Dungiven 3
Suffolk 2
TBD -
Queens University -
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 3
Dollingstown 1
Groomsport 1
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Lisburn Rangers 5
Rathfern Rangers 4
Saintfield 2
Tandragee 4
Portaferry Rovers 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 1
TBD -
Mossley FC -
Dunloy 3
Banbridge Rangers 1
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Portstewart -
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Bangor FC 0
St Luke's 1
Rosemount Rec 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Comber Rec 2
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U. U. Jordanstown -
St. Patricks Young 2
Lower Maze 1
TBD -
Wellington Rec -
Markethill 2
Grove 1
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Annagh -
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Linfield -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 4
Ballymacash 3
Bourneview Mill 1
Derriaghy 3
Drumaness 3
Crewe 2
Chimney 2
Hanover 8
Armagh -
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Ballymoney 1
Coagh Utd 6
Oxford Stars 4
Trojans 3
Shorts 1
Crumlin Star 9
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/128-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry 4
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth 6
Craigavon City 7
Newtowne FC 4
Desertmartin 2
Newington FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 6
Ballynure Old Boys 3
Islandmagee 1
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 5
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. 1
Moyola 10
Immaculata 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Rosario Youth 4
Brantwood 0
Valley Rangers 4
Colin Valley 1
Donegal 0
Crumlin United 2
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela 6
Ardstraw 2
Windmill 0
Sport & Leisure 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Sirocco 0
Dunmurry Rec 0
Tobermore 7
Banbridge 1
Dromara 0
Dungiven 2
Queens University 7
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 7
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Tandragee 3
Portaferry Rovers 2
Mossley FC 0
Dunloy 1
Portstewart 2
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 3
Rosemount Rec 0
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
U. U. Jordanstown 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Wellington Rec 2
Markethill 2
Annagh 4
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 2
Derriaghy 1
Drumaness 0
Hanover 2
Armagh 2
Coagh Utd 0
Oxford Stars 0
Crumlin Star 5
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/64-finals
Coleraine -
TBD -
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Foundry 4
Craigavon City 1
Newtowne FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 3
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 0
Moyola 5
Immaculata 3
Brantwood 1
Valley Rangers 0
Crumlin United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 2
Sport & Leisure 0
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 3
Tobermore 1
Banbridge 1
Queens University 2
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Tandragee 1
Portaferry Rovers 1
Portstewart 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Crusaders -
Newry City -
TBD -
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TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 11
U. U. Jordanstown 0
St. Patricks Young 2
Annagh 5
TBD -
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TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 3
Hanover 2
Armagh 1
Crumlin Star 2
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/32-finals
Coleraine -
TBD -
Foundry 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Ballywalter Recreation 0
Moyola 2
Immaculata 4
Crumlin United 2
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 5
Newcastle 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Queens University 3
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Portstewart 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Annagh 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ards -
TBD -
Shankill 0
Crumlin Star 4
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
1/16-finals
Coleraine 7
Lisburn Distillery 0
Knockbreda 0
Institute 2
Ballyclare 2
Portadown 1
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glentoran 2
Ballymena 4
Moyola 0
Immaculata 2
Ballinamallard 4
Dundela 1
Queens University 0
Dergview 0
Larne 3
Cliftonville 4
Warrenpoint 3
Maiden City 0
Crusaders 2
Newry City 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Glebe 0
Linfield 5
Glenavon 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Limavady 0
Dungannon 4
Ards 4
Crumlin Star 1
PSNI 1
Loughgall 4
1/8-finals
Coleraine 4
Institute 0
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 4
Ballymena 3
Ballinamallard 2
Dundela 1
Larne 6
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 1
Newry City 0
Linfield 1
Glenavon 3
Dungannon 0
Ards 1
Loughgall 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 0
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Cliftonville 1
Linfield 0
Glenavon 1
Loughgall 2
Semi-finals
Coleraine 3
Larne 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 1
Final
Coleraine 3
Cliftonville 1