Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dziugas Telsiai vs FBK Kaunas

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dziugas Telsiai play FBK Kaunas in the I Lyga 2016. Dziugas Telsiai are favorites here. Recently, Dziugas Telsiai averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. FBK Kaunas averaged 0.83 goals scored and 4.47 conceded. In past meetings, Dziugas Telsiai won 3, FBK Kaunas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 23, 2016 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Dziugas Telsiai and 0.88 for FBK Kaunas. This points to a Dziugas Telsiai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%
Dziugas Telsiai
15%
Draws
13%
FBK Kaunas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dziugas Telsiai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dziugas Telsiai picked up more points recently compared to FBK Kaunas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 25%
FBK Kaunas Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dziugas Telsiai FBK Kaunas
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 21 4
Draws 10 1
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.71 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.1 4.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2016 I Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai vs FBK Kaunas
2:0
Jul 2, 2016 I Lyga
FBK Kaunas vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:4
Aug 28, 2015 I Lyga
FBK Kaunas vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:1
May 16, 2015 I Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai vs FBK Kaunas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Viktoravicius V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serbul E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FBK Kaunas Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dziugas Telsiai 70 / 100
FBK Kaunas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dziugas Telsiai FBK Kaunas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dziugas Telsiai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Dziugas Telsiai & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.3%
1.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dziugas Telsiai attacking → ← attacking FBK Kaunas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dziugas Telsiai scored in 81% of their last 42 games.

FBK Kaunas let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Dziugas Telsiai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FBK Kaunas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 13
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marijampole City30233495:2572
2Palanga30217296:2970
3Vilniaus Vytis301938102:3460
4Nevezis Kedainiai30179476:3860
5FK Panevezys30178568:3559
6Banga30157862:3152
7Dziugas Telsiai301531251:4448
8Zalgiris 2301431362:6145
9Dainava Alytus301341357:4643
10FC Hegelmann301331455:5642
11Riteriai 230931844:5930
12Silute30861638:6030
13FK Krazante Kelme30841847:8628
14Lokomotyvas Radviliskis30651942:8623
15FBK Kaunas30412525:13413
16FK Minija30312627:12310