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East Atlanta FC vs Swarm FC

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between East Atlanta FC and Swarm FC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swarm FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
East Atlanta FC
6%
Draws
90%
Swarm FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swarm FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swarm FC come out ahead of East Atlanta FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Swarm FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
East Atlanta FC Clean Sheet 10%
Swarm FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Atlanta FC Swarm FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.75 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs East Atlanta FC
5:4
Jun 20, 2026 USL League Two
East Atlanta FC vs Swarm FC
1:3
May 25, 2025 USL League Two
East Atlanta FC vs Swarm FC
0:2
Jul 6, 2024 USL League Two
East Atlanta FC vs Swarm FC
3:1
Jul 3, 2024 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs East Atlanta FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Atlanta FC 10 / 100
Swarm FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Atlanta FC Swarm FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

East Atlanta FC's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Swarm FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: East Atlanta FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

East Atlanta FC VS Swarm FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

East Atlanta FC

(Home)
11 Jul
Columbus United
4 : 1
East Atlanta FC
08 Jul
Swarm FC
5 : 4
East Atlanta FC
05 Jul
East Atlanta FC
4 : 1
Birmingham Legion 2
02 Jul
Apotheos
0 : 3
East Atlanta FC
20 Jun
East Atlanta FC
1 : 3
Swarm FC
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Swarm FC

(Away)
16 Jul
Fort Lauderdale United
4 : 0
Swarm FC
08 Jul
Swarm FC
5 : 4
East Atlanta FC
28 Jun
Swarm FC
3 : 1
Dothan United
26 Jun
Birmingham Legion 2
2 : 2
Swarm FC
23 Jun
Swarm FC
4 : 0
Montgomery United
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