Sport Picks

Stadium Background

East Bengal vs Dempo

India India

Super Cup Salt Lake Stadium, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ali M.
45'
Ali A.
46'
Sub
Gupta J. In: Lalchungnunga
Out: Gupta J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
East Bengal
35%
Draws
26%
Dempo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to East Bengal lately — more wins on the board than Dempo.
  • Win probability leans East Bengal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • East Bengal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dempo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 68%
Dempo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Dempo
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.35 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Super Cup
East Bengal vs Dempo
2:2
Apr 25, 2015 I-League
East Bengal vs Dempo
3:1
Mar 1, 2015 I-League
Dempo vs East Bengal
1:5
Feb 23, 2014 I-League
Dempo vs East Bengal
1:0
Oct 17, 2013 I-League
East Bengal vs Dempo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Figueira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Dempo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rane L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 95 / 100
Dempo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Dempo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: East Bengal remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Dempo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

East Bengal VS -
3.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

East Bengal

(Home)
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
16 Sept
Al Hussein
2 : 2
East Bengal
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
United SC
0 : 0
East Bengal
Page 1 of 7

Dempo

(Away)
22 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
09 May
Chanmari
2 : 0
Dempo
01 May
Rajasthan United
0 : 1
Dempo
26 Apr
Lajong
0 : 0
Dempo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Mohun Bagan 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Dempo 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Chennaiyin FC 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Goa 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
2 North East United 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Jamshedpur 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Inter Kashi 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minerva Punjab 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Bengaluru FC 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Gokulam 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Mohammedan 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mumbai City 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Kerala Blasters 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Rajasthan United 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 SC Delhi 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)