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Stadium Background

East Bengal vs Dempo

India India

Super Cup Salt Lake Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Bengal play Dempo in the Super Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, East Bengal averaged 2.23 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Dempo averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, East Bengal won 2, Dempo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 25, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for East Bengal and 1.06 for Dempo. This points to a East Bengal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
East Bengal
28%
Draws
26%
Dempo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • East Bengal picked up more points recently compared to Dempo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 22%
Dempo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Dempo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.23 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Super Cup
East Bengal vs Dempo
2:2
Apr 25, 2015 I-League
East Bengal vs Dempo
3:1
Mar 1, 2015 I-League
Dempo vs East Bengal
1:5
Feb 23, 2014 I-League
Dempo vs East Bengal
1:0
Oct 17, 2013 I-League
East Bengal vs Dempo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Figueira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Dempo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rane L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 46 / 100
Dempo 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Dempo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: East Bengal or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

East Bengal attacking → ← attacking Dempo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Dempo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

East Bengal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dempo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 36
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1East Bengal31206:25
2Mohun Bagan31202:05
3Dempo30303:33
4Chennaiyin FC30121:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Goa32016:26
2North East United31206:55
3Jamshedpur31114:44
4Inter Kashi30122:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Minerva Punjab22006:06
2Bengaluru FC22006:06
3Gokulam31023:73
4Mohammedan30030:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mumbai City32015:26
2Kerala Blasters32014:16
3Rajasthan United31113:34
4SC Delhi30123:91