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East Bengal vs Minerva Punjab

India India

Super Cup Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Bengal play Minerva Punjab in the Super Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, East Bengal averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1 conceded. Minerva Punjab averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, East Bengal won 3, Minerva Punjab won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for East Bengal and 1.19 for Minerva Punjab. This points to a East Bengal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
East Bengal
21%
Draws
33%
Minerva Punjab
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • East Bengal picked up more points recently compared to Minerva Punjab.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 20%
Minerva Punjab Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Minerva Punjab
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 21 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 ISL
East Bengal vs Minerva Punjab
0:0
Dec 4, 2025 Super Cup
East Bengal vs Minerva Punjab
3:1
Feb 22, 2025 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs East Bengal
1:3
Dec 17, 2024 ISL
East Bengal vs Minerva Punjab
4:2
Apr 10, 2024 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs East Bengal
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Rashid M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sibille K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Minerva Punjab Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 45 / 100
Minerva Punjab 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Minerva Punjab

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: East Bengal or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

East Bengal attacking → ← attacking Minerva Punjab

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal scored in 81% of their last 37 games.

Minerva Punjab let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

East Bengal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Minerva Punjab lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 46
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88