Sport Picks
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride 
Match Events
8'
8'
Guthrie K.
Assist: Stott J.
19'
19'
Dobbie L.
Assist: Foster K.
57'
57'
Dobbie L.
Assist: Balde J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with East Kilbride advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: East Kilbride
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and East Kilbride come out ahead of Queen of the South on wins alone.
- Win probability leans East Kilbride's way, sitting at 90%.
- East Kilbride have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Queen of the South, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 16%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | East Kilbride | Queen of the South |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
3:1
Jul 23, 2024 League Cup
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
1:3
Jun 24, 2023 Club Friendly
East Kilbride vs Queen of the South
1:1
Jul 18, 2017 League Cup
Queen of the South vs East Kilbride
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
East Kilbride Compare
Top Goalscorer Dobbie L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Leitch J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5
Queen of the South Compare
Top Goalscorer Guthrie K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
East Kilbride 84 / 100
Queen of the South 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
East Kilbride Queen of the South
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
East Kilbride's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Queen of the South has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
East Kilbride went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
East Kilbride VS Queen of the South
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
East Kilbride
(Home) 21 Jul
St. Mirren
4 : 3 East Kilbride
18 Jul
East Kilbride
5 : 3 Dumbarton
14 Jul
Cove Rangers
3 : 2 East Kilbride
11 Jul
East Kilbride
3 : 0 Dunfermline
07 Jul
East Kilbride
4 : 4 St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
East Kilbride
5 : 3 Dumbarton
11 Jul
East Kilbride
3 : 0 Dunfermline
07 Jul
East Kilbride
4 : 4 St. Mirren B
27 Jun
East Kilbride
4 : 0 Kelty Hearts
02 May
East Kilbride
5 : 0 Clyde
Page 1 of 4
Queen of the South
(Away) 25 Jul
Queen's Park
3 : 1 Queen of the South
22 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 4 Aberdeen
18 Jul
Brora Rangers
0 : 3 Queen of the South
11 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Kelty Hearts
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Crusaders
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Queen's Park
3 : 1 Queen of the South
18 Jul
Brora Rangers
0 : 3 Queen of the South
09 May
Stenhousemuir
3 : 2 Queen of the South
02 May
Alloa
1 : 4 Queen of the South
18 Apr
Peterhead
1 : 1 Queen of the South
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
