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Eastern Lions vs Werribee City

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kuol P.
52' Event
Johnson T.
61' Event
Zewdie E.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League 2 game between Eastern Lions and Werribee City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Eastern Lions
11%
Draws
9%
Werribee City
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Eastern Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern Lions come out ahead of Werribee City on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Eastern Lions taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Eastern Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Werribee City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Lions Werribee City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Eastern Lions vs Werribee City
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Werribee City vs Eastern Lions
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Werribee City vs Eastern Lions
1:5
May 11, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Eastern Lions vs Werribee City
1:1
Jul 15, 2023 Victoria Premier League
Eastern Lions vs Werribee City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zewdie E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Werribee City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuol P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Lions 76 / 100
Werribee City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Lions Werribee City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eastern Lions scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Werribee City let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Eastern Lions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Lions VS Werribee City
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Goulburn Valley Suns20143346:2745
2Malvern City20141547:2343
3Essendon Royals21122750:3138
4Bayside Argonauts20105539:2935
5Keilor Park20111829:2734
6Box Hill2095632:2532
7Whittlesea United2177732:2428
8Springvale2175925:3726
9Nunawading City2074920:3025
10Eastern Lions2066831:2724
11Werribee City21551127:3720
12Kingston City20621221:4320
13Altona City21371118:3116
14Moreland City19251220:4611