Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eastern Suburbs vs Western Suburbs

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
MacKenzie C.
59'
Jarvie J.
75'
Diamond F.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2024 game between Eastern Suburbs and Western Suburbs finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Suburbs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Eastern Suburbs
15%
Draws
34%
Western Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern Suburbs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Eastern Suburbs's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Western Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Western Suburbs
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.66 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2024 National League
Eastern Suburbs vs Western Suburbs
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Western Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer MacKenzie C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 83 / 100
Western Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Western Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Suburbs has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Eastern Suburbs found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Western Suburbs has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS Western Suburbs
1.14 Goals Scored 2.63
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs

(Home)
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

Western Suburbs

(Away)
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 0
Auckland United
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1
Western Suburbs
09 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 1
Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birkenhead 9 6 2 1 23:16 20
2 Auckland City 9 6 1 2 20:10 19
3 Western Springs 9 6 0 3 25:16 18
4 Napier City 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
6 Wellington Olympic 9 3 2 4 17:15 11
7 Coastal Spirit 9 3 2 4 18:20 11
8 Cashmere Technical 9 2 3 4 16:18 9
9 Eastern Suburbs 9 1 2 6 8:17 5
10 Western Suburbs 9 1 1 7 9:28 4
Promotion - National League 2024 (Grand Final)