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Ebbs vs Kitzbuhel

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Redek L.
26' Event
Borsuk V.
27' Event
Wurnig D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ebbs and Kitzbuhel finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitzbuhel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ebbs
28%
Draws
50%
Kitzbuhel
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kitzbuhel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kitzbuhel come out ahead of Ebbs on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Kitzbuhel taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kitzbuhel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ebbs Clean Sheet 17%
Kitzbuhel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbs Kitzbuhel
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Ebbs vs Kitzbuhel
3:5
Jun 8, 2024 Tirol
Ebbs vs Kitzbuhel
1:2
May 3, 2024 Tirol
Kitzbuhel vs Ebbs
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Tirol
Ebbs vs Kitzbuhel
1:3
Sep 13, 2023 Tirol
Kitzbuhel vs Ebbs
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Wurnig D.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Kitzbuhel Compare

Top Goalscorer Krimbacher A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Redek L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbs 23 / 100
Kitzbuhel 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbs Kitzbuhel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbs found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Kitzbuhel conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Ebbs has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ebbs VS Kitzbuhel
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%