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Ebbsfleet vs West Ham U23

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Sat, Jul 20, 2024
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet host West Ham U23 in the Club Friendly 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. West Ham U23 have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Ebbsfleet have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.71. Head-to-head, Ebbsfleet have won 1 to West Ham U23's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.13, favoring West Ham U23. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ebbsfleet
20%
Draws
34%
West Ham U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and West Ham U23 come out ahead of Ebbsfleet on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
West Ham U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet West Ham U23
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.71 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Ebbsfleet vs West Ham U23
0:0
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Ebbsfleet vs West Ham U23
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 31 / 100
West Ham U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet West Ham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

West Ham U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ebbsfleet went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Salisbury
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2
Ebbsfleet
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
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West Ham U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Maidenhead
4 : 2
West Ham U23
25 Jul
Ebbsfleet
2 : 1
West Ham U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Everton U23
3 : 4
West Ham U23
22 Apr
West Ham U23
0 : 1
Fulham U23
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