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EC Juventude vs Chapecoense-SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
EC Juventude Logo

EC Juventude

0 - 0
FT
Chapecoense-SC Logo

Chapecoense-SC

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ray Breno In: Lucca
Out: Ray Breno
46'
Sub
Diogo Barbosa In: Kaynan
Out: Diogo Barbosa
46'
Sub
Schaffer M. In: Costa K.
Out: Schaffer M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
EC Juventude
30%
Draws
29%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC haven't matched EC Juventude's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on EC Juventude taking it.
  • EC Juventude have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor EC Juventude, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
EC Juventude vs Chapecoense-SC
0:0
Sep 1, 2023 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Chapecoense-SC
0:0
May 21, 2023 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs EC Juventude
0:2
Nov 14, 2021 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs EC Juventude
0:2
Jul 26, 2021 Serie A Betano
EC Juventude vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude 50 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude Chapecoense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Juventude Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapecoense-SC conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

EC Juventude's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

EC Juventude went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

EC Juventude VS Chapecoense-SC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Juventude

(Home)
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
05 Sept
EC Juventude
2 : 2
Atletico GO
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Chapecoense-SC

(Away)
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)