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Stadium Background

EC Sao Bernardo vs Santo Andre

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Jotta
34' Event
Severo V. M.
79' Event
Kayky Alves

AI Match Summary

The Copa Paulista game between EC Sao Bernardo and Santo Andre finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Sao Bernardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
EC Sao Bernardo
40%
Draws
29%
Santo Andre
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Sao Bernardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Paulista fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and EC Sao Bernardo have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 20%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Bernardo Santo Andre
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Santo Andre
3:1
Aug 13, 2023 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Santo Andre
1:2
Jul 5, 2023 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs EC Sao Bernardo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Bernardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jotta
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayky Alves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santo Andre Compare

Top Goalscorer Severo V. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Bernardo 32 / 100
Santo Andre 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Bernardo Santo Andre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Bernardo found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Santo Andre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: EC Sao Bernardo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Bernardo VS Santo Andre
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marilia11001:03
2Linense10100:01
3Bandeirante10100:01
4Gremio Prudente10010:10
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comercial11002:03
2Uniao Sao Joao00000:00
3Piracicaba00000:00
4Noroeste10010:20
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paulista11001:03
2Juventus-SP00000:00
3Osasco Sporting00000:00
4Primavera EC10010:10
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santo Andre00000:00
2Sao Caetano00000:00
3EC Sao Bernardo00000:00
4Sao Jose EC00000:00