Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Jotta
34'
34'
Severo V. M.
79'
79'
Kayky Alves
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santo Andre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- EC Sao Bernardo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans EC Sao Bernardo's way, sitting at 50%.
- EC Sao Bernardo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Santo Andre, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | EC Sao Bernardo | Santo Andre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs EC Sao Bernardo
1:0
Jul 19, 2026 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Santo Andre
3:1
Aug 13, 2023 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Santo Andre
1:2
Jul 5, 2023 Copa Paulista
Santo Andre vs EC Sao Bernardo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
EC Sao Bernardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Jotta
1 Goals Assists Leader Kayky Alves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Santo Andre Compare
Top Goalscorer Severo V. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
EC Sao Bernardo 59 / 100
Santo Andre 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
EC Sao Bernardo Santo Andre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EC Sao Bernardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
EC Sao Bernardo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Santo Andre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Recent resilience: EC Sao Bernardo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
EC Sao Bernardo VS Santo Andre
2 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 43%
88% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
EC Sao Bernardo
(Home) 05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Sao Caetano
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05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Sao Caetano
19 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 Santo Andre
28 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Marilia
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Santo Andre
(Away) 22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1 Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0 Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0 Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1 Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0 Santo Andre
19 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 Santo Andre
01 Mar
Linense
1 : 1 Santo Andre
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1 Santo Andre
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noroeste | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Comercial | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus-SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
