Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano 2 2016

Atlantico EC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EC Ypiranga play Atlantico EC in the Baiano 2 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, EC Ypiranga averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Atlantico EC averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, EC Ypiranga won 1, Atlantico EC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 20, 2016 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for EC Ypiranga and 0.94 for Atlantico EC. This points to a Atlantico EC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

EC Ypiranga

22%

Draws

40%

Atlantico EC

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atlantico EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

EC Ypiranga picked up more points recently compared to Atlantico EC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 24%

Atlantico EC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	EC Ypiranga	Atlantico EC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	9
Draws	6	7
Losses	16	14
Goals Scored	1.07	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Baiano 2

Atlantico EC vs EC Ypiranga

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Aug 14, 2016 Baiano 2

EC Ypiranga vs Atlantico EC

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Ypiranga 39 / 100

Atlantico EC 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

EC Ypiranga Atlantico EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atlantico EC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC Ypiranga attacking → ← attacking Atlantico EC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Ypiranga scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Atlantico EC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

EC Ypiranga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atlantico EC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 34

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Teixeira de Freitas	10	7	0	3	20:11	21
2	Atlantico EC	10	5	3	2	16:10	18
3	EC Ypiranga	10	5	2	3	20:14	17
4	Alagoinhas	10	3	3	4	11:14	12
5	Catuense	10	3	2	5	12:19	11
6	Juazeiro	10	1	2	7	12:23	5