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Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17

World World

World Cup U17 2023 Manahan Stadium, Surakarta
Ecuador U17 Logo

Ecuador U17

1 - 3
FT
Brazil U17 Logo

Brazil U17

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Estêvão
Assist: Kaua Elias
45' Event
Bermudez M.
46'
Sub
Batista G. In: Matheus Ferreira
Out: Batista G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brazil U17 in this World Cup U17 2023 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ecuador U17
15%
Draws
58%
Brazil U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Brazil U17 have won more games recently than Ecuador U17.
  • Model gives Brazil U17 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Brazil U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brazil U17, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brazil U17 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ecuador U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Brazil U17 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U17 Brazil U17
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 25
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.5 2.36
Goals Conceded 1 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 South American Championship U17
Brazil U17 vs Ecuador U17
3:2
Feb 27, 2025 Friendly International
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
1:0
Feb 24, 2025 Friendly International
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
1:2
Nov 20, 2023 World Cup U17
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bermudez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Brazil U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Estêvão
2 Goals
Assists Leader Luighi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 23 / 100
Brazil U17 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U17 Brazil U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U17's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ecuador U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Brazil U17 let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U17 VS Brazil U17
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U17

(Home)
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
16 Apr
Ecuador U17
1 : 3
Argentina U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 0
Colombia U17
Page 1 of 6

Brazil U17

(Away)
23 Aug
Brazil U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
20 Aug
Brazil U17
2 : 1
Venezuela U17
10 Jun
Brazil U17
1 : 0
USA U17
07 Jun
Brazil U17
4 : 0
USA U17
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Ecuador U17 1
Brazil U17 3
Argentina U17 5
Venezuela U17 0
Spain U17 2
Japan U17 1
Germany U17 3
USA U17 2
France U17 1
Senegal U17 0
England U17 1
Uzbekistan U17 2
Mali U17 5
Mexico U17 0
Morocco U17 2
Iran U17 1
Quarter-finals
Brazil U17 0
Argentina U17 3
Spain U17 0
Germany U17 1
France U17 1
Uzbekistan U17 0
Mali U17 1
Morocco U17 0
Semi-finals
Argentina U17 3
Germany U17 4
France U17 2
Mali U17 1
Final
Germany U17 3
France U17 2
Argentina U17 0
Mali U17 3