Sport Picks

South America

South American Championship Women U17 Estadio Ameliano

Uruguay U17 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ecuador U17 W play Uruguay U17 W in the South American Championship Women U17. Ecuador U17 W are favorites here. Recently, Ecuador U17 W averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Uruguay U17 W averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Ecuador U17 W won 3, Uruguay U17 W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Ecuador U17 W and 1.27 for Uruguay U17 W. This points to a Ecuador U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Ecuador U17 W

21%

Draws

22%

Uruguay U17 W

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Ecuador U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Ecuador U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Uruguay U17 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.27 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Ecuador U17 W Clean Sheet 19%

Uruguay U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ecuador U17 W	Uruguay U17 W
Matches Played	35	34
Wins	16	7
Draws	5	4
Losses	14	23
Goals Scored	1.69	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.69	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 South American Championship Women U17

Ecuador U17 W vs Uruguay U17 W

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

May 6, 2025 South American Championship Women U17

Ecuador U17 W vs Uruguay U17 W

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Mar 21, 2024 South American Championship Women U17

Ecuador U17 W vs Uruguay U17 W

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

4:0

Mar 3, 2022 South American Championship Women U17

Ecuador U17 W vs Uruguay U17 W

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Mar 10, 2016 South American Championship Women U17

Uruguay U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W

Possession: 49% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 W 55 / 100

Uruguay U17 W 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ecuador U17 W Uruguay U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U17 W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Ecuador U17 W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ecuador U17 W attacking → ← attacking Uruguay U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U17 W scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Uruguay U17 W let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Ecuador U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uruguay U17 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 25

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.29

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.71

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Argentina U17 W	4	2	2	0	8:3	8
2	Chile U17 W	4	2	2	0	12:3	8
3	Colombia U17 W	4	2	2	0	7:1	8
4	Paraguay U17 W	4	1	0	3	1:7	3
5	Bolivia U17 W	4	0	0	4	1:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brazil U17 W	4	4	0	0	16:3	12
2	Venezuela U17 W	4	2	0	2	5:3	6
3	Ecuador U17 W	4	1	2	1	2:5	5
4	Uruguay U17 W	4	1	1	2	6:7	4
5	Peru U17 W	4	0	1	3	1:12	1