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Ecuador U20 vs New Zealand U20

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Wallace B.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U20 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ecuador U20
6%
Draws
4%
New Zealand U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ecuador U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U20 have won more games recently than Ecuador U20.
  • Win probability leans Ecuador U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 20%
New Zealand U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U20 New Zealand U20
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2023 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs New Zealand U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

New Zealand U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallace B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U20 85 / 100
New Zealand U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U20 New Zealand U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U20 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: New Zealand U20 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ecuador U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: New Zealand U20 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U20 VS New Zealand U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.2
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 20%