Sport Picks

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Ecuador W vs Argentina W

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Pesantez D. In: Flores K.
Out: Pesantez D.
63'
Sub
Morcillo J. In: Ippolito D.
Out: Morcillo J.
67'
Sub
Arboleda D. In: Aviles S.
Out: Arboleda D.

AI Match Summary

Argentina W in this CONMEBOL Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Argentina W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ecuador W
30%
Draws
43%
Argentina W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Argentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ecuador W haven't matched Argentina W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular CONMEBOL Nations League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ecuador W Clean Sheet 16%
Argentina W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador W Argentina W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.36 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Ecuador W vs Argentina W
0:1
Jul 25, 2025 Copa América Women
Ecuador W vs Argentina W
0:2
Nov 30, 2021 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Argentina W
2:2
Nov 27, 2021 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Argentina W
0:0
Apr 9, 2018 Copa América Women
Ecuador W vs Argentina W
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Argentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonsegundo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador W 31 / 100
Argentina W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador W Argentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Argentina W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ecuador W scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Argentina W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Ecuador W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador W VS Argentina W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador W

(Home)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
10 Apr
Paraguay W
2 : 0
Ecuador W
07 Mar
Ecuador W
1 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Argentina W

(Away)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Argentina W
0 : 0
Colombia W
14 Apr
Venezuela W
1 : 2
Argentina W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)