Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025

Tepecik

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Edirnespor Genclik play Tepecik in the 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Edirnespor Genclik averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. Tepecik averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Edirnespor Genclik won 0, Tepecik won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Apr 13, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Edirnespor Genclik and 1.56 for Tepecik. This points to a Tepecik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Edirnespor Genclik

35%

Draws

36%

Tepecik

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tepecik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Edirnespor Genclik picked up more points recently compared to Tepecik.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Edirnespor Genclik Clean Sheet 15%

Tepecik Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Edirnespor Genclik	Tepecik
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	3	4
Draws	8	9
Losses	21	17
Goals Scored	0.75	0.77
Goals Conceded	2.09	1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 4

Edirnespor Genclik vs Tepecik

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Dec 1, 2024 3. Lig Group 4

Tepecik vs Edirnespor Genclik

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Feb 6, 2022 3. Lig Group 3

Edirnespor Genclik vs Tepecik

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Sep 25, 2021 3. Lig Group 3

Tepecik vs Edirnespor Genclik

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edirnespor Genclik Compare

Top Goalscorer Yilmaz T.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Tepecik Compare

Top Goalscorer Emek A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oktem R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edirnespor Genclik 29 / 100

Tepecik 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Edirnespor Genclik Tepecik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tepecik or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Edirnespor Genclik attacking → ← attacking Tepecik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Edirnespor Genclik scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Tepecik let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Edirnespor Genclik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tepecik lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 21

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mardin 1969	30	20	7	3	64:24	67
2	Sebat Spor Kulubu	30	21	4	5	73:28	67
3	Agri 1970	30	17	7	6	42:27	58
4	Zonguldak Komurspor	30	17	6	7	41:28	57
5	K. Istklalspor	30	16	8	6	55:26	56
6	Kirikkale FK	30	16	6	8	44:31	54
7	Orduspor 1967	30	16	5	9	61:33	53
8	Bursa Nilufer	30	10	11	9	38:29	41
9	Erciyes 38	30	9	7	14	35:48	34
10	1926 Polatli Belediye	30	7	8	15	37:58	29
11	Izmir Coruhlu	30	7	7	16	41:58	28
12	Nigde	30	6	9	15	30:53	27
13	Edirnespor Genclik	30	5	7	18	28:62	22
14	Tepecik	30	4	9	17	24:54	21
15	Denizlispor	30	5	12	13	27:55	21
16	Turgutlu	30	4	7	19	34:60	19