Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eemdijk vs ADO 20 Heemskerk

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eemdijk in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eemdijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Eemdijk
15%
Draws
49%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ADO 20 Heemskerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk have won more games recently than Eemdijk.
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 12%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eemdijk ADO 20 Heemskerk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
4:1
Jan 31, 2026 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Eemdijk
1:3
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Eemdijk vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
0:3
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Eemdijk
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eemdijk 27 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eemdijk ADO 20 Heemskerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADO 20 Heemskerk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eemdijk's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

ADO 20 Heemskerk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

ADO 20 Heemskerk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eemdijk VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eemdijk

(Home)
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
01 Sept
Elinkwijk
0 : 3
Eemdijk
29 Aug
Genemuiden
3 : 1
Eemdijk
Page 1 of 6

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Away)
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6
ADO 20 Heemskerk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0
Staphorst
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Harkemase Boys 6 5 1 0 13:7 16
3 Genemuiden 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
4 VV Scherpenzeel 6 5 0 1 11:7 15
5 Excelsior 31 6 4 1 1 16:6 13
6 Sportlust 6 3 3 0 14:9 12
7 Purmersteijn 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
8 TEC 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
9 Sparta Nijkerk 6 2 2 2 17:14 8
10 VV Hoogeveen 6 2 1 3 12:13 7
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
12 DVS '33 Ermelo 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
13 VV DOVO 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
14 Staphorst 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
15 USV Hercules 6 1 0 5 8:20 3
16 Eemdijk 6 1 0 5 7:19 3
17 HVV Hollandia 6 0 1 5 13:20 1
18 SVZW Wierden 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 6 5 1 0 12:0 16
2 Lisse 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
3 Rijnvogels 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
4 Excelsior Maassluis 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
5 RKSV UDI 19 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
6 GOES 6 3 2 1 13:13 11
7 SV Poortugaal 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
8 Dongen 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Blauw Geel 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
10 Gemert 6 1 4 1 10:10 7
11 VVSB 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
12 VV Zwaluwen 6 2 1 3 4:9 7
13 UNA 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
14 Groene Ster 6 1 3 2 10:13 6
15 Roosendaal 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
16 Achilles Veen 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
17 TOGB 6 0 2 4 8:15 2
18 EVV 6 0 1 5 7:16 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)