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EF Alhama vs Pinatar Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2014/2015 game between EF Alhama and Pinatar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EF Alhama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
EF Alhama
30%
Draws
52%
Pinatar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • EF Alhama haven't matched Pinatar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pinatar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
EF Alhama Clean Sheet 19%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EF Alhama Pinatar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs EF Alhama
2:3
Nov 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs Pinatar
2:3
Jan 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs Pinatar
3:0
Aug 31, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs EF Alhama
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EF Alhama 10 / 100
Pinatar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EF Alhama Pinatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

EF Alhama scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Pinatar let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

EF Alhama went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pinatar
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EF Alhama

(Home)
12 May
EF Alhama
1 : 3
Deportiva Minera
07 May
EDMF Churra
3 : 2
EF Alhama
01 May
EF Alhama
2 : 4
Ciudad de Murcia
24 Apr
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
3 : 1
EF Alhama
16 Apr
EF Alhama
5 : 3
Huercal-Overa CF
Page 1 of 6

Pinatar

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Melilla
0 : 3
Pinatar
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Futbol Club Jumilla 34 22 6 6 60:29 72
2 Real Murcia B 34 19 12 3 56:20 69
3 Huercal-Overa CF 34 21 5 8 58:32 68
4 Aguilas FC 34 18 10 6 66:30 64
5 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 3 12 47:32 60
6 Yeclano 34 16 8 10 56:43 56
7 Deportiva Minera 34 13 11 10 43:42 50
8 La Union CF 34 14 5 15 44:46 47
9 Pinatar 34 12 9 13 42:44 45
10 Plus Ultra 34 12 7 15 50:59 43
11 Muleno CF 34 10 9 15 43:41 39
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 11 6 17 44:51 39
13 Caravaca 34 10 8 16 37:48 38
14 Club Edeco Fortuna 34 8 14 12 48:61 38
15 EF Alhama 34 8 11 15 39:56 35
16 Cartagena FC UCAM 34 9 8 17 36:58 35
17 Molina 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
18 Ciudad Cieza 34 4 5 25 23:77 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)