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Egypt U17 vs Ethiopia U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 11), Salé
Egypt U17 Logo

Egypt U17

0 - 0
FT
Ethiopia U17 Logo

Ethiopia U17

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
In: Mohamed H.
46'
Sub
In: Nour M.
62'
Kassaw D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Egypt U17
15%
Draws
26%
Ethiopia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Egypt U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Egypt U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Egypt U17 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Egypt U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ethiopia U17 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Egypt U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Ethiopia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egypt U17 Ethiopia U17
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.69 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Egypt U17 vs Ethiopia U17
0:0
Aug 21, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ethiopia U17 vs Egypt U17
2:1
Aug 6, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Egypt U17 vs Ethiopia U17
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt U17 85 / 100
Ethiopia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egypt U17 Ethiopia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egypt U17 scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Ethiopia U17 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 16 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Egypt U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Egypt U17 VS Ethiopia U17
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt U17

(Home)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Egypt U17
0 : 1
Tanzania U17
24 May
Ivory Coast U17
1 : 4
Egypt U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Tunisia U17
1 : 2
Egypt U17
Page 1 of 7

Ethiopia U17

(Away)
23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0
Ethiopia U17
02 Oct
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Egypt U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Ethiopia U17 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Tunisia U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Cameroon U17 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Uganda U17 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 D.R. Congo U17 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U17 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
2 Mali U17 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Mozambique U17 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Angola U17 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Algeria U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ghana U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 South Africa U17 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)