Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Egypt U20 vs Uganda U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Egypt U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Egypt U20
20%
Draws
42%
Uganda U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uganda U20 come out ahead of Egypt U20 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Uganda U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Egypt U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Egypt U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Egypt U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egypt U20 Uganda U20
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2017 COSAFA Championship U20
Egypt U20 vs Uganda U20
3:1
Aug 6, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Uganda U20 vs Egypt U20
1:0
Jul 24, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Egypt U20 vs Uganda U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt U20 29 / 100
Uganda U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egypt U20 Uganda U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Egypt U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Egypt U20's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Uganda U20 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Egypt U20 VS Uganda U20
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Libya U20
0 : 2
Egypt U20
31 Jul
Egypt U20
3 : 0
Jordan U20
28 Jul
Egypt U20
2 : 0
Jordan U20
31 Mar
Egypt U20
0 : 0
Algeria U20
28 Mar
Egypt U20
2 : 2
Algeria U20
Page 1 of 6

Uganda U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
South Africa U20 1
Egypt U20 0
Uganda U20 0
Lesotho U20 1
Final
South Africa U20 2
Lesotho U20 1
Egypt U20 3
Uganda U20 1