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Egypt vs Croatia Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Misr Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rabia R.
Assist: Hamdi M.
21' Event
Vlasic N.
Assist: Modric L.
27'
Rabia R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Egypt and Croatia finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Egypt
15%
Draws
39%
Croatia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Egypt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Croatia's 1.83 goals per match outpaces what Egypt have produced (1.43).
  • Model gives Egypt a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Egypt Clean Sheet 68%
Croatia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egypt Croatia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
Egypt vs Croatia
2:4
Jun 13, 1999 Friendly International
Croatia vs Egypt
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egypt Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabia R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdelmonem M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vlasic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petkovic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt 95 / 100
Croatia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egypt Croatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Egypt scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Croatia conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Egypt went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Egypt VS Croatia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt

(Home)
04 Oct
Egypt
0 : 1
South Africa
29 Sept
South Sudan
0 : 5
Egypt
25 Sept
Egypt
0 : 0
Angola
07 Jul
Argentina
3 : 2
Egypt
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
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Croatia

(Away)
03 Oct
Croatia
0 : 7
England
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1
Croatia
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2
Croatia
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
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