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EI San Martin vs CD Mosconia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Rios S.

AI Match Summary

CD Mosconia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Mosconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
EI San Martin
20%
Draws
40%
CD Mosconia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Mosconia lately — more wins on the board than EI San Martin.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 25%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EI San Martin CD Mosconia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs CD Mosconia
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs EI San Martin
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs EI San Martin
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs CD Mosconia
0:1
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs CD Mosconia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EI San Martin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CD Mosconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EI San Martin 37 / 100
CD Mosconia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EI San Martin CD Mosconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mosconia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

EI San Martin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: EI San Martin scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

CD Mosconia let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

EI San Martin VS CD Mosconia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EI San Martin

(Home)
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1
EI San Martin
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3
EI San Martin
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
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CD Mosconia

(Away)
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4
Real Oviedo B
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)