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Ekenas IF vs PK-35

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ekenas IF play PK-35 in the Ykkosliiga. PK-35 are favorites here. Recently, Ekenas IF averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. PK-35 averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Ekenas IF won 2, PK-35 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ekenas IF and 1.00 for PK-35. This points to a PK-35 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ekenas IF
25%
Draws
60%
PK-35
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: PK-35

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ekenas IF picked up more points recently compared to PK-35.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Ekenas IF Clean Sheet 23%
PK-35 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekenas IF PK-35
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.96 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs PK-35
0:3
Apr 3, 2026 Ykkosliiga
PK-35 vs Ekenas IF
4:2
Jan 31, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
PK-35 vs Ekenas IF
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Ykkosliiga
PK-35 vs Ekenas IF
1:2
Jun 27, 2025 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs PK-35
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ekenas IF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

PK-35 Compare

Top Goalscorer Uchiyama S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salmensuu O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekenas IF 18 / 100
PK-35 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekenas IF PK-35

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PK-35 Win (2)
Secondary Pick PK-35 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ekenas IF attacking → ← attacking PK-35

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekenas IF scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

PK-35 let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ekenas IF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

PK-35 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 51
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1KTP1392221:1329
2PK-351383221:727
3Haka1363421:1421
4Jippo1356217:1021
5JaPS1361612:1919
6Mikkelin1351712:1516
7Ekenas IF1351720:2616
8KaPa1243514:1715
9Klubi 041215610:148
10SJK Akatemia131394:176