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El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Inter Ibiza Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Espinar Sant Rafel in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Espinar Sant Rafel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
El Espinar Sant Rafel
30%
Draws
23%
Inter Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Espinar Sant Rafel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Ibiza lately — more wins on the board than El Espinar Sant Rafel.
  • Win probability leans El Espinar Sant Rafel's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 10%
Inter Ibiza Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Espinar Sant Rafel Inter Ibiza
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Inter Ibiza
4:0
Oct 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 / 100
Inter Ibiza 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Espinar Sant Rafel Inter Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Inter Ibiza conceded in 60% of 35 recent games.

Inter Ibiza lost 4 of their last 5 games.

El Espinar Sant Rafel found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

El Espinar Sant Rafel VS Inter Ibiza
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Espinar Sant Rafel

(Home)
27 Sept
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 5
Prat
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1
Murense
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0
El Espinar Sant Rafel
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3
Rotlet Molinar
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
El Espinar Sant Rafel
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Inter Ibiza

(Away)
04 Oct
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 0
Inter Ibiza
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3
Llosetense
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 40 32 5 3 105:27 101
2 Manacor 40 26 4 10 74:42 82
3 UD Poblense 40 24 8 8 89:24 80
4 Platges de Calvia 40 22 11 7 56:27 77
5 Llosetense 40 22 9 9 62:36 75
6 Santanyi 40 23 6 11 66:46 75
7 Constancia 40 20 9 11 54:38 69
8 PE Sant Jordi 40 20 8 12 57:46 68
9 Portmany 40 17 11 12 55:51 62
10 Collerense 40 17 7 16 45:49 58
11 Soller 40 16 9 15 46:52 57
12 Binissalem 40 13 12 15 40:44 51
13 Mercadal 40 11 12 17 54:51 45
14 Inter Ibiza 40 12 7 21 51:62 43
15 Rotlet Molinar 40 11 9 20 35:53 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 10 10 20 48:64 40
17 Campos 40 10 10 20 38:64 40
18 Felanitx 40 9 11 20 43:65 38
19 Serverense 40 8 7 25 35:74 31
20 Murense 40 5 8 27 31:76 23
21 Son Veri 40 4 3 33 28:121 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)