Sport Picks
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Santa Catalina Atletico
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between El Espinar Sant Rafel and Santa Catalina Atletico finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Espinar Sant Rafel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and El Espinar Sant Rafel come out ahead of Santa Catalina Atletico on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Catalina Atletico Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Espinar Sant Rafel | Santa Catalina Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Santa Catalina Atletico
4:1
Jan 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
2:1
Jan 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:0
Aug 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Santa Catalina Atletico
2:1
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Santa Catalina Atletico
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Espinar Sant Rafel 41 / 100
Santa Catalina Atletico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Espinar Sant Rafel Santa Catalina Atletico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Catalina Atletico let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
El Espinar Sant Rafel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Santa Catalina Atletico's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
El Espinar Sant Rafel VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
El Espinar Sant Rafel
(Home) 01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1 Murense
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3 Rotlet Molinar
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
03 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 0 Soller
Page 1 of 7
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1 Murense
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3 Rotlet Molinar
03 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 0 Soller
19 Mar
El Espinar Sant Rafel
0 : 0 Binissalem
06 Mar
El Espinar Sant Rafel
0 : 5 Mallorca B
Page 1 of 4
Santa Catalina Atletico
(Away) 19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1 Ferriolense
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
1 : 1 Soller
30 May
Cardassar
4 : 2 Santa Catalina Atletico
23 May
Santa Catalina Atletico
1 : 2 Felanitx
Page 1 of 6
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
30 May
Cardassar
4 : 2 Santa Catalina Atletico
15 May
Ferriolense
4 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
02 May
Soller
1 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
18 Apr
Felanitx
3 : 0 Santa Catalina Atletico
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Ibiza | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 38:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Andratx | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 35:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Constancia | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 24:14 | 35 |
| 4 | Manacor | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Portmany | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Collerense | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 29 |
| 7 | Soller | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21:36 | 23 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:28 | 22 |
| 9 | Felanitx | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Ferriolense | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:32 | 13 |
| 11 | Genova | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19:41 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges de Calvia | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 31:13 | 45 |
| 2 | PE Sant Jordi | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 33:17 | 41 |
| 3 | Formentera | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36:20 | 39 |
| 4 | Mallorca B | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 34:10 | 38 |
| 5 | Santanyi | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23:12 | 35 |
| 6 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25:24 | 22 |
| 7 | Llosetense | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | 22 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Santa Catalina Atletico | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 11 | Esporles | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15:50 | 7 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)