Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Gaish vs Ghazl El Mahallah

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Arfaoui R.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
Hatem F.
46'
Sub
Abdelsalam M. In: Saidi K.
Out: Abdelsalam M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between El Gaish and Ghazl El Mahallah finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Gaish.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
El Gaish
44%
Draws
20%
Ghazl El Mahallah
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Gaish come out ahead of Ghazl El Mahallah on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 26%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gaish Ghazl El Mahallah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 14
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Premier League
El Gaish vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs El Gaish
0:0
Dec 30, 2025 League Cup
El Gaish vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:0
May 25, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:1
Nov 7, 2024 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs El Gaish
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Hatem F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ghazl El Mahallah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gaish 38 / 100
Ghazl El Mahallah 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gaish Ghazl El Mahallah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Gaish scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Ghazl El Mahallah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: El Gaish stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Gaish VS Ghazl El Mahallah
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220