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EL Nacional vs Dep. Santo Domingo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between EL Nacional and Dep. Santo Domingo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
EL Nacional
40%
Draws
29%
Dep. Santo Domingo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • EL Nacional haven't matched Dep. Santo Domingo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 19%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EL Nacional Dep. Santo Domingo
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Serie B
EL Nacional vs Dep. Santo Domingo
0:0
Apr 10, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs EL Nacional
1:1
Sep 4, 2024 Copa Ecuador
Dep. Santo Domingo vs EL Nacional
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EL Nacional 32 / 100
Dep. Santo Domingo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EL Nacional Dep. Santo Domingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Santo Domingo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Dep. Santo Domingo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

EL Nacional's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

EL Nacional VS Dep. Santo Domingo
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EL Nacional

(Home)
24 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 0
Gualaceo
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
08 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 1
Cumbaya
02 Jul
Atletico FC
3 : 0
EL Nacional
11 Jun
EL Nacional
0 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
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Dep. Santo Domingo

(Away)
25 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
17 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
11 Jul
San Antonio
1 : 1
Dep. Santo Domingo
08 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
03 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
8San Antonio1849520:2021
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)