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El Paso Locomotive vs AV Alta FC

USA USA

USL Cup Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Aoumaich A.
31'
Mendez A.
33'
Moreno A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with El Paso Locomotive advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
El Paso Locomotive
40%
Draws
29%
AV Alta FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • AV Alta FC haven't matched El Paso Locomotive's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • El Paso Locomotive have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor El Paso Locomotive, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 20%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Paso Locomotive AV Alta FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 USL Cup
El Paso Locomotive vs AV Alta FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Top Goalscorer Dollenmayer N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abitia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

AV Alta FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Paso Locomotive 32 / 100
AV Alta FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Paso Locomotive AV Alta FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Paso Locomotive scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

AV Alta FC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: El Paso Locomotive stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Paso Locomotive VS AV Alta FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Paso Locomotive

(Home)
26 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2
New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6

AV Alta FC

(Away)
26 Jul
AV Alta FC
0 : 0
Westchester SC
18 Jul
One Knoxville
2 : 3
AV Alta FC
15 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spokane Velocity43016:69
2Sacramento Republic43017:38
3Athletic Club Boise43019:68
4Oakland Roots41034:64
5Las Vegas Lights41034:74
6Monterey Bay41038:103
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colorado Springs440010:112
2New Mexico43018:59
3El Paso Locomotive42025:56
4AV Alta FC42025:66
5Phoenix Rising41033:83
6Orange County SC40043:90
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC44006:111
2Birmingham Legion43018:39
3One Knoxville43016:46
4FC Tulsa41034:74
5Corpus Christi FC41032:64
6Chattanooga Red Wolves40042:72
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City440013:411
2Detroit City42024:48
3Indy Eleven43017:47
4Lexington42028:86
5Union Omaha420210:126
6Forward Madison41036:103
7Fort Wayne40046:121
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic43018:310
2Rhode Island43017:37
3Brooklyn FC42029:57
4Portland Hearts of Pine42027:106
5New York Cosmos41035:114
6Westchester SC41036:102
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence44008:410
2Charleston43019:49
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds42026:38
4Greenville Triumph41034:73
5Loudoun United41034:73
6Richmond Kickers41033:93
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay440010:112
2Miami FC430111:59
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise41032:93
5FC Naples41033:92
6South Georgia Tormenta00000:00
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams