Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Porvenir W vs Gimnasia L.P. W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Lopez S.
29' Event
Aguilera A.
50' Event
Martinez L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A Women 2023 game between El Porvenir W and Gimnasia L.P. W finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
El Porvenir W
17%
Draws
70%
Gimnasia L.P. W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gimnasia L.P. W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Gimnasia L.P. W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gimnasia L.P. W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera A Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
El Porvenir W Clean Sheet 18%
Gimnasia L.P. W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Porvenir W Gimnasia L.P. W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2023 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Gimnasia L.P. W
3:3
May 10, 2023 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Gimnasia L.P. W
1:1
May 28, 2022 Primera A Women
Gimnasia L.P. W vs El Porvenir W
2:1
Oct 30, 2021 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Gimnasia L.P. W
2:3
Jun 26, 2021 Primera A Women
Gimnasia L.P. W vs El Porvenir W
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Porvenir W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merlo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Gimnasia L.P. W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguilera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Porvenir W 15 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Porvenir W Gimnasia L.P. W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Gimnasia L.P. W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

El Porvenir W found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: El Porvenir W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gimnasia L.P. W
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Porvenir W

(Home)
30 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 3
Lanus W
26 Nov
Boca Juniors W
3 : 0
El Porvenir W
13 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 0
Huracan W
17 Oct
Excursionistas W
1 : 0
El Porvenir W
09 Oct
CA Estudiantes W
1 : 2
El Porvenir W
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Gimnasia L.P. W

(Away)
27 Jul
Union de Santa Fe W
2 : 0
Gimnasia L.P. W
17 Jul
CA Independiente W
0 : 2
Gimnasia L.P. W
13 Jul
Gimnasia L.P. W
2 : 1
Huracan W
08 Jul
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
2 : 1
Gimnasia L.P. W
04 Jul
Gimnasia L.P. W
4 : 2
River Plate W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UAI Urquiza W1071219:922
2San Lorenzo W1061313:919
3CA Belgrano de Cordoba W1053222:1118
4CA Banfield W1053216:1318
5River Plate W1052327:1417
6CA Independiente W1042416:1414
7Platense W1042410:1614
8Social Atletico Television W1032513:1411
9Estudiantes L.P. W101097:253
10Defensores de Belgrano W1000102:270
Promotion - Primera A Women 2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Juniors W1091024:428
2Racing Club W1080220:924
3Ferro W1061320:1119
4Huracan W1034311:1013
5Gimnasia L.P. W1034312:1213
6CA Estudiantes W1040611:1612
7Rosario Central W103259:1111
8Excursionistas W103256:1311
9Lanus W102358:159
10El Porvenir W101366:196
Promotion - Primera A Women 2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)