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Elana Torun vs Ostrovia Ostrow Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elana Torun in this III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elana Torun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Elana Torun
30%
Draws
23%
Ostrovia Ostrow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Elana Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elana Torun lately — more wins on the board than Ostrovia Ostrow.
  • Model gives Elana Torun a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Ostrovia Ostrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elana Torun Ostrovia Ostrow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Ostrovia Ostrow
2:1
Nov 11, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Elana Torun
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elana Torun 83 / 100
Ostrovia Ostrow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elana Torun Ostrovia Ostrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elana Torun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elana Torun scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Ostrovia Ostrow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Ostrovia Ostrow's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Elana Torun VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elana Torun

(Home)
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2
Wda Swiecie
29 Aug
KKS Kalisz
5 : 1
Elana Torun
Page 1 of 6

Ostrovia Ostrow

(Away)
15 Feb
Ostrovia Ostrow
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
27 Jul
Krotoszyn
3 : 3
Ostrovia Ostrow
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
25 Jul
Jarocin
3 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
04 Jun
Elana Torun
2 : 1
Ostrovia Ostrow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warta Poznan 30 18 8 4 57:24 62
2 Pelikan Niechanowo 30 19 5 6 60:28 62
3 Lech Poznan II 30 17 9 4 69:23 60
4 Kleczew 30 15 8 7 63:30 53
5 Jarocin 30 14 9 7 47:27 51
6 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 30 15 6 9 45:28 51
7 Wda Swiecie 30 14 7 9 37:37 49
8 KKS Kalisz 30 13 6 11 41:41 45
9 Elana Torun 30 13 5 12 51:41 44
10 Unia Swarzedz 30 10 8 12 39:55 38
11 Start Warlubie 30 9 8 13 40:45 35
12 Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski 30 9 4 17 39:67 31
13 Ostrovia Ostrow 30 8 5 17 36:48 29
14 Nielba Wagrowiec 30 6 5 19 32:68 23
15 Sparta Brodnica 30 4 10 16 26:55 22
16 Kujawianka 30 3 3 24 26:91 12
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)