Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig White Group Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu

Match Events

43'

Ozdiraz M.

(Penalty)

70'

Ozdiraz M.

(Penalty)

77'

Sonmez H.

Assist: Cam S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elazigspor host Karacabey Bld. in the 2. Lig White Group. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Elazigspor have averaged 2.63 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Karacabey Bld.'s 2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Elazigspor slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.44, favoring Elazigspor. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Elazigspor

33%

Draws

27%

Karacabey Bld.

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Elazigspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Elazigspor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Karacabey Bld..
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Elazigspor.
League standings and seasonal metrics in 2. Lig White Group provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Elazigspor Clean Sheet 16%

Karacabey Bld. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Elazigspor	Karacabey Bld.
Matches Played	33	32
Wins	20	11
Draws	4	7
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	2.63	2
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 2. Lig White Group

Elazigspor vs Karacabey Bld.

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Oct 5, 2025 2. Lig White Group

Karacabey Bld. vs Elazigspor

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Apr 20, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

Elazigspor vs Karacabey Bld.

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Dec 8, 2024 2. Lig Red Group

Karacabey Bld. vs Elazigspor

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Apr 11, 2021 2. Lig Red Group

Karacabey Bld. vs Elazigspor

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elazigspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonmez H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Karacabey Bld. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elazigspor 39 / 100

Karacabey Bld. 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Elazigspor Karacabey Bld.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elazigspor scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Karacabey Bld. let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Elazigspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Karacabey Bld. lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elazigspor VS Karacabey Bld.

2.63 Goals Scored 2

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Batman Petrolspor	36	25	8	3	86:33	83
2	Muglaspor	36	21	9	6	51:19	72
3	Elazigspor	36	21	6	9	82:37	69
4	Adana 01	36	19	10	7	55:35	67
5	Sanliurfaspor	36	19	8	9	63:43	65
6	Ankaragucu	36	18	9	9	52:41	63
7	Inegolspor	36	16	12	8	67:44	60
8	Iskenderunspor	36	16	8	12	50:44	56
9	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	36	13	15	8	45:35	54
10	Ankaraspor	36	13	13	10	64:54	52
11	24Erzincanspor	36	15	6	15	55:49	51
12	Kastamonuspor	36	11	9	16	44:56	42
13	Karacabey Bld.	36	11	8	17	46:55	41
14	Altinordu	36	8	11	17	33:59	35
15	Erbaaspor	36	10	7	19	40:61	34
16	Beykoz Anadolu	36	8	6	22	37:66	30
17	Kepez Bld.	36	5	8	23	33:78	23
18	Karaman FK	36	4	9	23	30:86	21
19	Bucaspor 1928	36	4	8	24	38:76	17