Sport Picks
Elazigspor vs Karacabey Bld. Prediction & H2H Stats
Turkey
2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu, Elazığ 
Match Events
43'
43'
Ozdiraz M.
(Penalty)
70'
70'
Ozdiraz M.
(Penalty)
77'
77'
Sonmez H.
Assist: Cam S.
AI Match Summary
Karacabey Bld. in this 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karacabey Bld..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elazigspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Elazigspor have won more games recently than Karacabey Bld..
- Model gives Elazigspor a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elazigspor Clean Sheet 20%
Karacabey Bld. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elazigspor | Karacabey Bld. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Elazigspor vs Karacabey Bld.
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Elazigspor
0:3
Apr 20, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Elazigspor vs Karacabey Bld.
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Elazigspor
1:1
Apr 11, 2021 2. Lig Red Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Elazigspor
6:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elazigspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Sonmez H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Karacabey Bld. Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elazigspor 85 / 100
Karacabey Bld. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elazigspor Karacabey Bld.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elazigspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Elazigspor scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Karacabey Bld.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Elazigspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Elazigspor VS Karacabey Bld.
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Elazigspor
(Home) 04 Oct
Elazigspor
2 : 3 Corluspor
27 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
0 : 0 Elazigspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0 Aliaga
12 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 2 Elazigspor
06 Sept
Elazigspor
3 : 1 Sebat Spor Kulubu
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04 Oct
Elazigspor
2 : 3 Corluspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0 Aliaga
06 Sept
Elazigspor
3 : 1 Sebat Spor Kulubu
04 May
Elazigspor
2 : 1 Adana 01
25 Apr
Elazigspor
2 : 0 24Erzincanspor
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Karacabey Bld.
(Away) 03 Oct
Fethiyespor
0 : 1 Karacabey Bld.
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4 Ankaragucu
20 Sept
Inegolspor
0 : 1 Karacabey Bld.
06 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 1 Serik Spor
24 Apr
Karacabey Bld.
0 : 1 Bucaspor 1928
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Fethiyespor
0 : 1 Karacabey Bld.
20 Sept
Inegolspor
0 : 1 Karacabey Bld.
19 Apr
Beykoz Anadolu
2 : 2 Karacabey Bld.
08 Apr
Muglaspor
0 : 3 Karacabey Bld.
29 Mar
Sanliurfaspor
2 : 2 Karacabey Bld.
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batman Petrolspor | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 86:33 | 83 |
| 2 | Muglaspor | 36 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 51:19 | 72 |
| 3 | Elazigspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82:37 | 69 |
| 4 | Adana 01 | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 55:35 | 67 |
| 5 | Sanliurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Ankaragucu | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Inegolspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 67:44 | 60 |
| 8 | Iskenderunspor | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 50:44 | 56 |
| 9 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 45:35 | 54 |
| 10 | Ankaraspor | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 64:54 | 52 |
| 11 | 24Erzincanspor | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 55:49 | 51 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44:56 | 42 |
| 13 | Karacabey Bld. | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46:55 | 41 |
| 14 | Altinordu | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 33:59 | 35 |
| 15 | Erbaaspor | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 40:61 | 34 |
| 16 | Beykoz Anadolu | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 37:66 | 30 |
| 17 | Kepez Bld. | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 33:78 | 23 |
| 18 | Karaman FK | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 30:86 | 21 |
| 19 | Bucaspor 1928 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 38:76 | 17 |
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