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Electrico FC vs Marinhense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Souza P.
32' Event
Souza B.
45' Event
Souza B.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Electrico FC and Marinhense finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Electrico FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Electrico FC
33%
Draws
27%
Marinhense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Electrico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Electrico FC haven't matched Marinhense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Electrico FC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Electrico FC Clean Sheet 68%
Marinhense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Electrico FC Marinhense
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Electrico FC vs Marinhense
4:1
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs Electrico FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Electrico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Insali Djalo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Marinhense Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Electrico FC 50 / 100
Marinhense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Electrico FC Marinhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Electrico FC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Marinhense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Marinhense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Electrico FC VS Marinhense
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Electrico FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
15 Mar
Oliveira Hospital
5 : 0
Electrico FC
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Marinhense

(Away)
18 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 0
Marinhense
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5
Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0
Marinhense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)