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Ellerton FC vs UWI Blackbirds

Barbados Barbados

Premier League 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023 game between Ellerton FC and UWI Blackbirds finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ellerton FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ellerton FC
17%
Draws
13%
UWI Blackbirds
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ellerton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ellerton FC come out ahead of UWI Blackbirds on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ellerton FC a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ellerton FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ellerton FC Clean Sheet 20%
UWI Blackbirds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellerton FC UWI Blackbirds
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
UWI Blackbirds vs Ellerton FC
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs UWI Blackbirds
1:0
Mar 31, 2025 Premier League
UWI Blackbirds vs Ellerton FC
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs UWI Blackbirds
1:0
May 5, 2024 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs UWI Blackbirds
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellerton FC 67 / 100
UWI Blackbirds 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellerton FC UWI Blackbirds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellerton FC found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

UWI Blackbirds has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ellerton FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ellerton FC VS UWI Blackbirds
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%