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Ellopiakos vs Paraskevi Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Ellopiakos and Paraskevi finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ellopiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ellopiakos
15%
Draws
20%
Paraskevi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ellopiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ellopiakos come out ahead of Paraskevi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ellopiakos a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 20%
Paraskevi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellopiakos Paraskevi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.33 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Paraskevi
6:0
Oct 22, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Paraskevi vs Ellopiakos
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellopiakos 85 / 100
Paraskevi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellopiakos Paraskevi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellopiakos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraskevi has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Ellopiakos scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ellopiakos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ellopiakos VS Paraskevi
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellopiakos

(Home)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

Paraskevi

(Away)
28 Apr
Paraskevi
0 : 3
Agios Nikolaos
24 Apr
AO Ilisiakos
3 : 1
Paraskevi
20 Apr
Paraskevi
3 : 2
Aris Petroupolis
14 Apr
Ipato
4 : 0
Paraskevi
07 Apr
AO Proodeftiki
5 : 0
Paraskevi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)