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Elva vs FC Tallinn

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Nike Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Neltsas R.
Assist: Paju A.
87' Event
Neltsas R.
Assist: Paju A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Elva and FC Tallinn finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elva
6%
Draws
4%
FC Tallinn
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Elva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Elva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Elva have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Elva Clean Sheet 19%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva FC Tallinn
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Elva
0:3
May 7, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs FC Tallinn
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Elva
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs FC Tallinn
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Elva
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Neltsas R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FC Tallinn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 85 / 100
FC Tallinn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva FC Tallinn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

FC Tallinn has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Elva has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS FC Tallinn
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619