Sport Picks

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Elva vs Rakvere

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2019
Elva Logo

Elva

2 - 0
FT
Rakvere Logo

Rakvere

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kuresoo J.
34' Event
Timm T.
(Penalty)
57'
Rannamae S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elva in this Esiliiga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Elva
15%
Draws
40%
Rakvere
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Elva have won more games recently than Rakvere.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Rakvere taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Elva have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Elva Clean Sheet 20%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Rakvere
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Rakvere vs Elva
1:8
Oct 5, 2019 Esiliiga
Elva vs Rakvere
2:0
Aug 23, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Elva
1:4
May 30, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Elva
2:0
Apr 7, 2019 Esiliiga
Elva vs Rakvere
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuresoo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Rakvere Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 28 / 100
Rakvere 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Rakvere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakvere Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rakvere conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Elva scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Elva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
Page 1 of 7

Rakvere

(Away)
19 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 0
Rakvere
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4
Rakvere
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2
Rakvere
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
10 Jul
Rakvere
3 : 1
Puhkus Mehhikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legion 36 29 4 3 127:35 91
2 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 7 7 85:37 73
3 Parnu JK Vaprus 36 21 4 11 73:48 67
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 36 18 4 14 59:55 58
5 Elva 36 18 2 16 67:63 56
6 Levadia U21 36 16 5 15 80:65 53
7 Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 36 12 4 20 51:82 40
8 Rakvere 36 8 4 24 35:98 28
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 8 4 24 38:82 28
10 Tartu JK Welco 36 6 6 24 39:89 24
Relegation - Esiliiga 2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2019 (Relegation)